Canadian Election Analysis: Urban vs Rural

Talking about the urban-vs-rural divide in Canada and the US with my roommate yesterday; today I realized I could actually demonstrate it.

I scraped data from two websites: CBC and Elections Canada, since the latter doesn’t yet have election results. So here’s what I found:

population density vs vote scatterplots

What are you seeing here? Each point is a single riding. The x-axis shows population density. The y-axis shows the votes for that party as a percentage of the votes to the four major national parties (Liberal, Conservative, NDP, Green), and the scale is different for each. The Bloc Quebecois are not considered here, since they only participate in Quebec.

As you can see, this data seems to show that the Liberals weakly correlate with high population density, and the Conservatives correlate strongly with low population density. I tried making similar graphs using the logarithm of population density, but that didn’t reveal anything differently.

There’s quite a lot more that can be done with the data I used, you can find it all in this Excel file.

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3 Responses to Canadian Election Analysis: Urban vs Rural

  1. Pingback: Canadian Election Analysis: Urban vs Rural (January 25, 2006) at bennybox

  2. Smithee says:

    Interesting. I would have thought the liberal vote would correspond more closely to high population density. Good work, I look forward to more.

  3. mfagan says:

    I think that’s it for me :-)… download the spreadsheet and try it yourself

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